Predictions underlie nearly every aspect of our lives, from sports, politics, and medical decisions to the morning commute. With the explosion of digital technology, the internet, and 'big data,' the science of forecasting is flourishing. But why do some predictions succeed spectacularly while others fail abysmally? And how can we find meaningful patterns amidst chaos and uncertainty? From the glitz of casinos and TV game shows to the life-and-death stakes of storm forecasts and the flaws of opinion polls that can swing an election, 'Prediction by the Numbers' explores stories of statistics in action. Yet advances in machine learning and big data models that increasingly rule our lives are also posing big, disturbing questions. How much should we trust predictions made by algorithms when we don't understand how they arrive at them? And how far ahead can we really forecast?

Tony Accardo have taken the reins of the criminal empire built by their mentor Al Capone. Thanks to Sam Giancana's takeover of the policy racket, the gangsters are now making millions. With so much money coming in, Accardo knows they need a place to hide it. They find their answer in a growing city where gambling is now legal: Las Vegas. However, the New York mafia is already there, led by criminal mastermind Meyer Lansky.

Sam Smith's book 'The Jordan Rules' exposes the darker side of Michael Jordan's competitiveness, and questions arise about whether he has a serious gambling problem, but he remains focused on winning a new title in 1993. Dealing with the pitfalls of fame and attempting to complete the first three-peat leave Jordan increasingly exhausted and isolated.